Switzerland vs Algeria
Too close to call — Switzerland 45%, level after 90 26%, Algeria 29%. The gap is mostly class — Switzerland rate 1914 to 1780; 1.6-1.2 on the goals model.
form11.11
goal_diff-12.79
xg1.2
INSIGHTS
USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
USA dominate the read at 61% (USA 61% / level after 90 21% / Bosnia and Herzegovina 18%). USA's rating (1781 vs 1622) is the main separator; goals look likely (2.1-1.0 expected, over 2.5 at 61%).
form11.11
goal_diff45.74
xg42.87
Colombia vs Ghana
Colombia dominate the read at 75% (Colombia 75% / level after 90 17% / Ghana 8%). The gap is mostly class — Colombia rate 2004 to 1575; goals look likely (2.3-0.6 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form38.89
goal_diff18.65
xg64.43
Germany vs Paraguay
Germany are favoured at 59%, though Paraguay (18%) and level after 90 (24%) keep it open. Germany look the bigger threat going forward; 1.8-0.9 on the goals model.
form27.78
goal_diff73.97
xg100
England vs DR Congo
This looks England's to lose at 69% (England 69% / level after 90 21% / DR Congo 10%). England's rating (2038 vs 1712) is the main separator; 1.9-0.6 on the goals model.
form16.67
goal_diff50.8
xg100
Mexico vs Ecuador
Honours could go either way: Mexico 41%, Ecuador 27%, with level after 90 at 32%. Mexico's recent form is doing the work; few goals projected (1.1-0.8 expected).
form38.89
goal_diff23.47
xg3.53
France vs Sweden
France are strong favourites at 77% (France 77% / level after 90 15% / Sweden 8%). France's rating (2123 vs 1742) is the main separator; expect an open game (2.6-0.8 expected, over 2.5 at 66%).
form38.89
goal_diff45.01
xg45.18
Belgium vs Senegal
Honours could go either way: Belgium 39%, Senegal 35%, with level after 90 at 26%. Belgium look the bigger threat going forward; 1.4-1.4 on the goals model.
form16.67
goal_diff-9.42
xg55.52
Spain vs Austria
Spain are strong favourites at 67% (Spain 67% / level after 90 20% / Austria 13%). The gap is mostly class — Spain rate 2144 to 1841; expect an open game (2.2-0.9 expected, over 2.5 at 59%).
form-16.67
goal_diff22.83
xg60.35
Argentina vs Cabo Verde
Argentina dominate the read at 84% (Argentina 84% / level after 90 12% / Cabo Verde 3%). The gap is mostly class — Argentina rate 2144 to 1622; around 2.5-0.4 goals expected.
form61.11
goal_diff57.67
xg100
Portugal vs Croatia
Portugal hold the edge at 50%, but it is no formality — level after 90 24%, Croatia 26%. The gap is mostly class — Portugal rate 1990 to 1905; goals look likely (1.8-1.2 expected, over 2.5 at 58%).
form27.78
goal_diff28.17
xg26.35
Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway
Norway are favoured at 54%, though Côte d'Ivoire (23%) and level after 90 (24%) keep it open. Norway's chance creation tilts it; expect an open game (1.1-1.8 expected, over 2.5 at 57%).
form22.22
goal_diff-45.26
xg-100
Netherlands vs Morocco
Too close to call — Netherlands 40%, level after 90 27%, Morocco 34%. Netherlands's rating (1980 vs 1877) is the main separator; around 1.4-1.3 goals expected.
form-16.67
goal_diff-3.34
xg-17.14
South Africa vs Canada
Canada hold the edge at 53%, but it is no formality — level after 90 27%, South Africa 21%. The gap is mostly class — Canada rate 1748 to 1575; 0.9-1.6 on the goals model.
form-22.22
goal_diff-27.34
xg-54.87
Brazil vs Japan
Too close to call — Brazil 34%, level after 90 26%, Japan 40%. Japan look the bigger threat going forward; around 1.4-1.5 goals expected.
form11.11
goal_diff-64.76
xg21.23
Australia vs Egypt
A lean to Australia (47%) rather than a strong call, with level after 90 live at 28%. Australia's rating (1800 vs 1740) is the main separator; 1.4-1.0 on the goals model.
form-33.33
goal_diff28.58
xg13.13
Tunisia vs Netherlands
Netherlands are strong favourites at 76% (Tunisia 8% / draw 16% / Netherlands 76%). The gap is mostly class — Netherlands rate 1972 to 1570; goals look likely (0.7-2.5 expected, over 2.5 at 63%).
form-55.56
goal_diff-63.02
xg-100
Japan vs Sweden
Japan are strong favourites at 72% (Japan 72% / draw 17% / Sweden 11%). Japan's rating (1925 vs 1727) is the main separator; expect an open game (2.5-0.9 expected, over 2.5 at 67%).
form33.33
goal_diff87.58
xg25.82
Ecuador vs Germany
Germany hold the edge at 48%, but it is no formality — draw 28%, Ecuador 24%. Germany look the bigger threat going forward; around 1.0-1.5 goals expected.
form-22.22
goal_diff-49.61
xg-37.87
Curaçao vs Côte d'Ivoire
This looks Côte d'Ivoire's to lose at 66% (Curaçao 13% / draw 21% / Côte d'Ivoire 66%). Côte d'Ivoire's rating (1728 vs 1453) is the main separator; around 0.8-2.0 goals expected.
form-77.78
goal_diff-43.93
xg-57.68
Paraguay vs Australia
Too close to call — Paraguay 27%, draw 29%, Australia 44%. Australia look the bigger threat going forward; few goals projected (1.0-1.3 expected).
form27.78
goal_diff-59.33
xg-50.72
Türkiye vs USA
Too close to call — Türkiye 33%, draw 25%, USA 42%. No single signal dominates; goals look likely (1.4-1.7 expected, over 2.5 at 60%).
form16.67
goal_diff-18.13
xg-0.17
Morocco vs Haiti
This looks Morocco's to lose at 74% (Morocco 74% / draw 17% / Haiti 9%). Morocco's rating (1866 vs 1528) is the main separator; expect an open game (2.3-0.7 expected, over 2.5 at 57%).
form61.11
goal_diff47.09
xg75.97
Scotland vs Brazil
This looks Brazil's to lose at 61% (Scotland 16% / draw 23% / Brazil 61%). Brazil look the bigger threat going forward; around 0.9-1.9 goals expected.
form-38.89
goal_diff-44.46
xg-95.94
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar
A lean to Bosnia and Herzegovina (54%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 24%. Bosnia and Herzegovina's rating (1596 vs 1437) is the main separator; goals look likely (1.9-1.1 expected, over 2.5 at 57%).
form27.78
goal_diff12.33
xg40.61
Switzerland vs Canada
Too close to call — Switzerland 45%, draw 27%, Canada 29%. The gap is mostly class — Switzerland rate 1885 to 1777; around 1.5-1.2 goals expected.
form16.67
goal_diff5.79
xg-9.06
South Africa vs South Korea
South Korea dominate the read at 60% (South Africa 16% / draw 24% / South Korea 60%). The gap is mostly class — South Korea rate 1771 to 1527; 0.8-1.8 on the goals model.
form-22.22
goal_diff-38.41
xg-40
Czechia vs Mexico
Mexico are favoured at 58%, though Czechia (17%) and the draw (24%) keep it open. Mexico's rating (1896 vs 1696) is the main separator; 0.9-1.8 on the goals model.
form-55.56
goal_diff-24.66
xg-20.61
Jordan vs Argentina
Argentina dominate the read at 81% (Jordan 5% / draw 14% / Argentina 81%). Argentina's rating (2144 vs 1632) is the main separator; goals look likely (0.5-2.4 expected, over 2.5 at 55%).
form-88.89
goal_diff-58.15
xg-100
Algeria vs Austria
Honours could go either way: Algeria 33%, Austria 40%, with the draw at 26%. Austria look the bigger threat going forward; around 1.3-1.5 goals expected.
form-16.67
goal_diff-7.98
xg-19.24
New Zealand vs Belgium
Belgium are strong favourites at 65% (New Zealand 15% / draw 20% / Belgium 65%). The gap is mostly class — Belgium rate 1869 to 1549; goals look likely (0.9-2.1 expected, over 2.5 at 60%).
form-44.44
goal_diff-12.97
xg-98.58
Uruguay vs Spain
This looks Spain's to lose at 66% (Uruguay 13% / draw 21% / Spain 66%). The gap is mostly class — Spain rate 2134 to 1851; 0.7-2.0 on the goals model.
form-27.78
goal_diff-62.98
xg-83.37
Cabo Verde vs Saudi Arabia
Too close to call — Cabo Verde 42%, draw 29%, Saudi Arabia 29%. Cabo Verde arrive the sharper side on form; around 1.3-1.1 goals expected.
form16.67
goal_diff21.94
xg-73.78
Colombia vs Portugal
Honours could go either way: Colombia 38%, Portugal 36%, with the draw at 26%. The metrics are hard to separate; 1.4-1.4 on the goals model.
form-11.11
goal_diff-21.89
xg-30.61
Croatia vs Ghana
This looks Croatia's to lose at 66% (Croatia 66% / draw 21% / Ghana 13%). The gap is mostly class — Croatia rate 1896 to 1584; goals look likely (2.1-0.8 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form22.22
goal_diff12.36
xg68.69
Panama vs England
This looks England's to lose at 70% (Panama 10% / draw 20% / England 70%). England's rating (2028 vs 1668) is the main separator; 0.7-2.1 on the goals model.
form-27.78
goal_diff-56.76
xg-90.51
Norway vs France
Honours could go either way: Norway 33%, France 42%, with the draw at 25%. France's rating (2090 vs 1951) is the main separator; expect an open game (1.5-1.7 expected, over 2.5 at 61%).
form-22.22
goal_diff60.87
xg46.32
Egypt vs Iran
A genuine coin-flip: Egypt 29%, draw 28%, Iran 42%. Iran's chance creation tilts it; 1.1-1.4 on the goals model.
form0
goal_diff-31.45
xg-5.54
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan
Honours could go either way: DR Congo 37%, Uzbekistan 33%, with the draw at 30%. DR Congo's recent form is doing the work; few goals projected (1.1-1.1 expected).
form22.22
goal_diff6.94
xg-9.39
Senegal vs Iraq
This looks Senegal's to lose at 62% (Senegal 62% / draw 23% / Iraq 15%). The gap is mostly class — Senegal rate 1817 to 1586; around 1.9-0.8 goals expected.
form-5.56
goal_diff48.83
xg-4.71
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
Portugal dominate the read at 60% (Portugal 60% / draw 23% / Uzbekistan 16%). The gap is mostly class — Portugal rate 1967 to 1698; 1.9-0.9 on the goals model.
form33.33
goal_diff25.51
xg59.69
Jordan vs Algeria
Algeria hold the edge at 49%, but it is no formality — draw 25%, Jordan 26%. Algeria arrive the sharper side on form; around 1.2-1.7 goals expected.
form-44.44
goal_diff-30.79
xg-60.96
Argentina vs Austria
Argentina dominate the read at 64% (Argentina 64% / draw 22% / Austria 14%). Argentina's rating (2128 vs 1857) is the main separator; 1.9-0.8 on the goals model.
form11.11
goal_diff5.18
xg1.75
New Zealand vs Egypt
A genuine coin-flip: New Zealand 31%, draw 27%, Egypt 42%. Egypt's rating (1711 vs 1578) is the main separator; 1.2-1.4 on the goals model.
form-27.78
goal_diff32.29
xg20.32
Tunisia vs Japan
This looks Japan's to lose at 74% (Tunisia 9% / draw 17% / Japan 74%). The gap is mostly class — Japan rate 1910 to 1585; expect an open game (0.7-2.3 expected, over 2.5 at 58%).
form-61.11
goal_diff-77.13
xg-74.81
Ecuador vs Curaçao
Ecuador are strong favourites at 74% (Ecuador 74% / draw 19% / Curaçao 8%). The gap is mostly class — Ecuador rate 1890 to 1427; 2.1-0.5 on the goals model.
form38.89
goal_diff2.88
xg50.26
Brazil vs Haiti
Brazil dominate the read at 69% (Brazil 69% / draw 19% / Haiti 12%). The gap is mostly class — Brazil rate 1978 to 1536; goals look likely (2.2-0.8 expected, over 2.5 at 58%).
form33.33
goal_diff-18.87
xg-12.08
USA vs Australia
A genuine coin-flip: USA 30%, draw 26%, Australia 44%. Australia's recent form is doing the work; 1.2-1.5 on the goals model.
form-22.22
goal_diff-24.2
xg24.28
Mexico vs South Korea
Honours could go either way: Mexico 42%, South Korea 30%, with the draw at 28%. Mexico's rating (1881 vs 1786) is the main separator; 1.4-1.1 on the goals model.
form22.22
goal_diff-20.18
xg-9.19
Canada vs Qatar
Canada are strong favourites at 66% (Canada 66% / draw 21% / Qatar 13%). Canada's rating (1767 vs 1447) is the main separator; 2.0-0.8 on the goals model.
form38.89
goal_diff29.44
xg65.67
Panama vs Croatia
Croatia are favoured at 51%, though Panama (24%) and the draw (25%) keep it open. The gap is mostly class — Croatia rate 1881 to 1683; goals look likely (1.1-1.8 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form-11.11
goal_diff-14.81
xg-47.56
England vs Ghana
England are strong favourites at 84% (England 84% / draw 12% / Ghana 4%). England's rating (2055 vs 1557) is the main separator; goals look likely (2.7-0.5 expected, over 2.5 at 62%).
form66.67
goal_diff51.95
xg96.31
Norway vs Senegal
A lean to Norway (51%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 24%. Norway look the bigger threat going forward; expect an open game (1.8-1.2 expected, over 2.5 at 59%).
form11.11
goal_diff56.76
xg100
Uruguay vs Cabo Verde
Uruguay are favoured at 58%, though Cabo Verde (16%) and the draw (26%) keep it open. Uruguay's rating (1870 vs 1606) is the main separator; around 1.6-0.7 goals expected.
form0
goal_diff0.81
xg87.18
Spain vs Saudi Arabia
This looks Spain's to lose at 82% (Spain 82% / draw 13% / Saudi Arabia 5%). Spain's rating (2129 vs 1598) is the main separator; expect an open game (2.6-0.5 expected, over 2.5 at 58%).
form33.33
goal_diff72.3
xg94.54
Germany vs Côte d'Ivoire
A lean to Germany (56%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 24%. Germany's chance creation tilts it; 1.9-1.0 on the goals model.
form16.67
goal_diff20.21
xg92.03
Scotland vs Morocco
Morocco hold the edge at 54%, but it is no formality — draw 26%, Scotland 20%. Morocco look the bigger threat going forward; around 0.9-1.6 goals expected.
form0
goal_diff-69.56
xg-92.59
Colombia vs DR Congo
Colombia are strong favourites at 64% (Colombia 64% / draw 23% / DR Congo 13%). Colombia's rating (1998 vs 1674) is the main separator; around 1.8-0.7 goals expected.
form5.56
goal_diff17.02
xg46.97
France vs Iraq
France are strong favourites at 77% (France 77% / draw 16% / Iraq 7%). The gap is mostly class — France rate 2084 to 1592; expect an open game (2.4-0.6 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form44.44
goal_diff34.13
xg82.8
Belgium vs Iran
A lean to Belgium (46%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 26%. Belgium look the bigger threat going forward; 1.6-1.2 on the goals model.
form16.67
goal_diff1.56
xg74.22
Netherlands vs Sweden
Netherlands are strong favourites at 61% (Netherlands 61% / draw 21% / Sweden 18%). The gap is mostly class — Netherlands rate 1944 to 1755; goals look likely (2.2-1.2 expected, over 2.5 at 66%).
form0
goal_diff32.16
xg33.61
Türkiye vs Paraguay
A lean to Türkiye (48%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 26%. Türkiye's chance creation tilts it; 1.6-1.1 on the goals model.
form22.22
goal_diff32.79
xg60.76
Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Switzerland are strong favourites at 65% (Switzerland 65% / draw 21% / Bosnia and Herzegovina 14%). The gap is mostly class — Switzerland rate 1865 to 1616; goals look likely (2.1-0.8 expected, over 2.5 at 55%).
form-5.56
goal_diff36.67
xg50.5
Czechia vs South Africa
Czechia are favoured at 56%, though South Africa (19%) and the draw (24%) keep it open. Czechia's rating (1712 vs 1511) is the main separator; around 1.8-0.9 goals expected.
form50
goal_diff23.48
xg40.54
Argentina vs Algeria
This looks Argentina's to lose at 66% (Argentina 66% / draw 22% / Algeria 12%). The gap is mostly class — Argentina rate 2115 to 1772; around 1.9-0.7 goals expected.
form27.78
goal_diff8.36
xg5.04
Iraq vs Norway
Norway are strong favourites at 70% (Iraq 11% / draw 19% / Norway 70%). Norway's rating (1914 vs 1607) is the main separator; goals look likely (0.8-2.2 expected, over 2.5 at 58%).
form-5.56
goal_diff-96.62
xg-100
France vs Senegal
France hold the edge at 49%, but it is no formality — draw 26%, Senegal 25%. France's rating (2063 vs 1860) is the main separator; around 1.6-1.1 goals expected.
form16.67
goal_diff-27.07
xg33.37
Iran vs New Zealand
Iran hold the edge at 58%, but it is no formality — draw 23%, New Zealand 19%. The gap is mostly class — Iran rate 1772 to 1562; expect an open game (1.9-1.0 expected, over 2.5 at 57%).
form38.89
goal_diff5.69
xg19.24
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
A lean to Uruguay (56%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 27%. The gap is mostly class — Uruguay rate 1870 to 1598; a tight, low-scoring game is on the cards (0.7-1.5 expected).
form-16.67
goal_diff-18.25
xg3.55
Belgium vs Egypt
A lean to Belgium (56%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 25%. Belgium look the bigger threat going forward; around 1.7-0.9 goals expected.
form27.78
goal_diff39.55
xg100
Spain vs Cabo Verde
Spain are strong favourites at 84% (Spain 84% / draw 12% / Cabo Verde 4%). The gap is mostly class — Spain rate 2129 to 1606; expect an open game (2.7-0.5 expected, over 2.5 at 61%).
form16.67
goal_diff56.1
xg100
Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden hold the edge at 52%, but it is no formality — draw 24%, Tunisia 24%. Sweden's rating (1755 vs 1585) is the main separator; goals look likely (1.8-1.1 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form33.33
goal_diff5.46
xg80.09
Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador
Honours could go either way: Côte d'Ivoire 29%, Ecuador 40%, with the draw at 32%. Ecuador's rating (1890 vs 1743) is the main separator; few goals projected (0.9-1.1 expected).
form22.22
goal_diff37.66
xg-14.4
Netherlands vs Japan
Honours could go either way: Netherlands 33%, Japan 43%, with the draw at 24%. Japan arrive the sharper side on form; expect an open game (1.5-1.7 expected, over 2.5 at 61%).
form-27.78
goal_diff-39.5
xg38.89
Germany vs Curaçao
This looks Germany's to lose at 85% (Germany 85% / draw 10% / Curaçao 4%). Germany's rating (1939 vs 1427) is the main separator; expect an open game (3.1-0.6 expected, over 2.5 at 72%).
form77.78
goal_diff60.75
xg100
Australia vs Türkiye
Australia hold the edge at 46%, but it is no formality — draw 26%, Türkiye 28%. No single signal dominates; around 1.6-1.2 goals expected.
form-16.67
goal_diff41.16
xg-14.4
Haiti vs Scotland
Scotland are favoured at 51%, though Haiti (25%) and the draw (25%) keep it open. The gap is mostly class — Scotland rate 1794 to 1536; goals look likely (1.2-1.8 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form-27.78
goal_diff38.18
xg66.42
Brazil vs Morocco
Honours could go either way: Brazil 36%, Morocco 35%, with the draw at 29%. Brazil's rating (1978 vs 1840) is the main separator; around 1.2-1.2 goals expected.
form5.56
goal_diff-50.24
xg-38.26
Qatar vs Switzerland
Switzerland dominate the read at 73% (Qatar 9% / draw 18% / Switzerland 73%). Switzerland's rating (1865 vs 1447) is the main separator; goals look likely (0.7-2.3 expected, over 2.5 at 57%).
form-22.22
goal_diff-36.88
xg-71.96
USA vs Paraguay
USA are favoured at 48%, though Paraguay (26%) and the draw (26%) keep it open. USA look the bigger threat going forward; around 1.6-1.1 goals expected.
form-16.67
goal_diff49.75
xg70.64
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Canada hold the edge at 56%, but it is no formality — draw 25%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 19%. The gap is mostly class — Canada rate 1767 to 1616; 1.7-0.9 on the goals model.
form11.11
goal_diff29.24
xg44.21
South Korea vs Czechia
A lean to South Korea (51%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 25%. South Korea's chance creation tilts it; expect an open game (1.8-1.2 expected, over 2.5 at 56%).
form5.56
goal_diff28
xg20.02
Mexico vs South Africa
Mexico dominate the read at 69% (Mexico 69% / draw 21% / South Africa 10%). Mexico's rating (1881 vs 1511) is the main separator; 1.9-0.6 on the goals model.
form77.78
goal_diff31.3
xg51.36
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Colombia hold the edge at 55%, but it is no formality — draw 26%, Uzbekistan 19%. Colombia's rating (1982 vs 1714) is the main separator; 0.9-1.6 on the goals model.
form-33.33
goal_diff-4.5
xg-28.53
England vs Croatia
England are favoured at 53%, though Croatia (22%) and the draw (25%) keep it open. England's rating (2024 vs 1912) is the main separator; around 1.7-1.0 goals expected.
form5.56
goal_diff30.92
xg15.05
Austria vs Jordan
A lean to Austria (54%) rather than a strong call, with the draw live at 24%. Austria look the bigger threat going forward; around 1.8-1.1 goals expected.
form44.44
goal_diff41.51
xg94.45
Ghana vs Panama
Panama hold the edge at 55%, but it is no formality — draw 24%, Ghana 21%. Panama's rating (1730 vs 1510) is the main separator; around 1.0-1.8 goals expected.
form-33.33
goal_diff3.83
xg-16.1
Portugal vs DR Congo
Portugal are strong favourites at 67% (Portugal 67% / draw 21% / DR Congo 12%). The gap is mostly class — Portugal rate 1989 to 1652; around 2.0-0.7 goals expected.
form0
goal_diff30.06
xg88.9